Analyst Gives XRP 65% Chance To Rally

Alexey Bondarev
Alexey BondarevMar, 19 2026 10:49
Weaker whale activity leaves XRP buyers facing a $1.12 breakout test (Image: Shutterstock)
Weaker whale activity leaves XRP buyers facing a $1.12 breakout test (Image: Shutterstock)

XRP (XRP) is trading at $1.46 as an ascending triangle pattern compresses beneath a resistance band between $1.65 and $1.70 — a zone that analyst EGRAG CRYPTO says will determine whether the token can begin working its way back toward prior cycle highs.

Triangle Pattern Details

In a post on X, EGRAG described the setup as an ascending triangle forming under what he calls "Zone 1," the $1.65–$1.70 resistance area visible on the five-day XRP/USD chart. A rising lower trendline indicates buyers have been stepping in at progressively higher levels, while sellers continue to defend a flat ceiling.

The analyst assigned a 65% probability to a breakout above Zone 1, citing building momentum and tightening compression. A 35% chance of rejection remains, particularly if the proposed Clarity Act is delayed. "If no catalyst → liquidity sweep first," EGRAG wrote.

Also Read: Bitmine Adds 61K ETH In Single-Week Run, Now Holds 3.81% Of All Ethereum Supply

XRP On The Crossroads

Even a successful break above Zone 1 would not, on its own, open the door to all-time highs.

EGRAG placed "Zone 2" at roughly $2.60 and above, noting that reaching it would require institutional flows, Bitcoin (BTC) stability or a drop in BTC dominance, and sustained weekly closes above $1.85–$2.00.

"Triangle = Pressure. Zone 1 = Trigger. Zone 2 = Expansion," the analyst wrote. "Catalyst starts the move…..Liquidity finishes it."

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Alexey Bondarev

Alexey Bondarev is the Head of Content at Yellow.com, having reported on crypto for the last 10 years. He specializes in in-depth Research and Learn pieces, with a focus on analytical reporting, industry context, and the bigger forces shaping crypto, from the AI era and security technologies to fintech innovation. He believes that everything digital will imminently overcome everything analogue and is working hard to make that come true.

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Analyst Gives XRP 65% Chance To Rally | Yellow