Bitcoin Could Surge to $1.5M by 2035, Metcalfe's Law Study Shows

Alexey Bondarev
Alexey BondarevJan, 10 2025 8:01
Are four-year Bitcoin cycles becoming irrelevant as the market matures?

As Bitcoin drifts back into the low $90,000 bracket, experts are split on the extent of its potential decline before a rebound. Despite the current volatility, seasoned market observers express unwavering optimism about Bitcoin's long-term ascent to over a million dollars, potentially reaching $1.5 million by 2035.

Timothy Peterson, a noted cryptocurrency enthusiast, predicts that Bitcoin will hit $1.5 million by 2035. His forecast hinges on Metcalfe's Law, suggesting a nearly 15-fold surge from today's value.

Metcalfe's Law posits that a network's value grows exponentially with its user base. In Bitcoin's case, increased adoption translates to escalating worth.

Peterson, author of the influential paper "Metcalfe’s Law as a Model for Bitcoin’s Value," remains bullish on Bitcoin's inevitable global adoption. He argues that while traditional currency models falter with Bitcoin, network connectivity laws provide a compelling value rationale. His track record includes accurately identifying critical market reversals, such as Bitcoin's low point in September last year.

Despite Peterson's optimistic long-range projection, current price dynamics might unsettle Bitcoin enthusiasts. In the last 24 hours, more than $524 million in liquidations have occurred, with $136 million attributable to BTC. Crypto analyst Keith Alan remarked on Bitcoin’s ongoing decline, highlighting active sell-side pressure driving prices down. He shared insights, acknowledging unclear motivations behind buy walls, yet emphasized potential liquidity shifts.

Alan pinpointed $91,500 as a support level, with $86,500 as secondary backing, noting $300 million in bid liquidity in this zone. A rebound could occur here, yet failure might prompt further dips to $77,900 to address the CME gap.

Contrasting Alan's position, Ali Martinez underscored a possible upswing to $275,000, citing a cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart. Currently, Bitcoin stands at $92,805, a 3.3% decrease within 24 hours.

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Alexey Bondarev

Alexey Bondarev is the Head of Content at Yellow.com, having reported on crypto for the last 10 years. He specializes in in-depth Research and Learn pieces, with a focus on analytical reporting, industry context, and the bigger forces shaping crypto, from the AI era and security technologies to fintech innovation. He believes that everything digital will imminently overcome everything analogue and is working hard to make that come true.

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