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Polymarket traders have staked more than $4.25 billion on the 2026 World Cup winner, pricing Spain near 58% ahead of Sunday's final against Argentina. Key Points Spain and Argentina meet in the Jul. 19 World Cup final, the first ever between the two nations, with markets favoring Spain near 58%. Pol

Polymarket traders have poured more than $50 million into the FIFA World Cup Golden Boot race, where Kylian Mbappe's 56% lead over Lionel Messi now rests on a third-place game. Key Points: Mbappe led Polymarket's Golden Boot market at 56% against Messi's 34% before France's 2-0 semifinal loss to Spa

Evidence of fire pit use has been linked to a 111-acre forest blaze in Wales, as Britain's deepening wildfire emergency renews scrutiny of Polymarket and its disaster betting contracts. Key Points: Fire crews found signs of fire pit use at the 111-acre Braichmelyn Forest blaze in Gwynedd. A major in

Polymarket traders now price a 37% chance that Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" opens above $115 million domestically, the strongest of six outcomes on the board. Key Points: The opening weekend market has drawn about $183,000 in volume, with the above-$115 million bracket leading at 37%. A separat

The mid-season playoff race is steering fresh money into baseball prediction markets, where Los Angeles Dodgers championship contracts have drawn nearly $68 million combined on Polymarket and Kalshi. Key Points: Dodgers World Series contracts have traded roughly $35 million on Polymarket and $32.7 m