Zacks And Stifel Both See Bitcoin Near $40K: What Will Cause 50% Decline?

Alexey Bondarev
Alexey BondarevFeb, 05 2026 3:59
Why Bond Yields and Oil Are Dragging Bitcoin Toward $58K / Shutterstock.com
Why Bond Yields and Oil Are Dragging Bitcoin Toward $58KImage: Shutterstock.com

Zacks chief equity strategist John Blank and Stifel Financial Corp. are warning that Bitcoin (BTC) could plunge to between $38,000 and $40,000, with both Wall Street firms citing force selling, liquidations, heavy ETF outflows, and waning investor interest as the cryptocurrency tumbles from a reported peak near $125,000 to approximately $76,000.

What Happened: Strategists Forecast Nearly 50% Drop

Blank said that Bitcoin "winners" typically last 12 to 18 months before exhausting their momentum. He said the current decline fits historical patterns of post-peak corrections and predicted BTC could hit $40,000 either quickly or over the next six to eight months.

Stifel issued a similar warning, setting a $38,000 target based on past cycles. The firm cited tighter Federal Reserve policy, slow U.S. crypto regulation, and shrinking liquidity as key factors.

Blank also noted that Robinhood is outperforming Coinbase in the current environment despite ongoing efforts tied to ETF demand and stablecoin growth.

Also Read: What $10B Iran Crypto Probe Means For Stablecoins

Why It Matters: Liquidation Risk Looms

The forecasts add to a growing chorus of bearish calls from Wall Street. Sentiment has dropped into "extreme fear" territory as the broader crypto market has shed more than $1.7 trillion in recent months.

Stifel said institutional and retail interest has weakened considerably. Both firms suggest forced liquidations could accelerate the decline.

Read Next: Musk's XAI Seeks Experts To Train AI On Crypto Markets, Paying Up To $100 Hourly

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Alexey Bondarev

Alexey Bondarev is the Head of Content at Yellow.com, having reported on crypto for the last 10 years. He specializes in in-depth Research and Learn pieces, with a focus on analytical reporting, industry context, and the bigger forces shaping crypto, from the AI era and security technologies to fintech innovation. He believes that everything digital will imminently overcome everything analogue and is working hard to make that come true.

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