Can XLM Break Out After 34% Drop? Technical Indicators Flash Green

Stellar forms inverse head and shoulders pattern as RWA value approaches $1 billion milestone (Image: Shutterstock)
Stellar forms inverse head and shoulders pattern as RWA value approaches $1 billion milestone (Image: Shutterstock)

Stellar is forming a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on its daily chart while the network's real-world asset value has climbed nearly 11% since late December to approach $986 million, though the token remains down about 34% over the past three months.

What Happened: Bullish Pattern Forms Amid Network Growth

The inverse head and shoulders structure began taking shape after Dec. 31, when XLM rallied nearly 30% before correcting between Jan. 6 and Jan. 9.

The left shoulder formed in November, the head printed in late December, and the recent pullback created the right shoulder.

Stellar's RWA value rose from approximately $890 million on Dec. 31 to roughly $986 million in early January. The neckline sits about 12% above current prices, and a daily close above $0.254 would confirm the breakout pattern.

Also Read: Cardano Long-Term Holders Sell While Short-Term Traders Buy The Dip — What's Next For ADA?

Why It Matters: Capital Flows Signal Accumulation

Technical indicators suggest capital continues flowing into the network despite recent price weakness.

Chaikin Money Flow has remained positive even as prices declined, signaling steady inflows rather than distribution.

The Money Flow Index shows buyers consistently stepping in on dips.

Between late November and late December, XLM made lower lows while MFI held higher levels, a classic bullish divergence.

On the downside, $0.223 serves as the first support level to watch, while a close below $0.196 would invalidate the pattern entirely. A confirmed breakout projects a 30% move toward $0.330.

Read Next: What Does Bitcoin's Move From Power Law To S-Curve Mean For Investors?

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Alexey Bondarev

Alexey Bondarev is the Head of Content at Yellow.com, having reported on crypto for the last 10 years. He specializes in in-depth Research and Learn pieces, with a focus on analytical reporting, industry context, and the bigger forces shaping crypto, from the AI era and security technologies to fintech innovation. He believes that everything digital will imminently overcome everything analogue and is working hard to make that come true.

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