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Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi priced Saturday's Steve Erceg vs. Ramazan Temirov flyweight bout at 52 cents to 48 cents, the tightest market on the UFC Abu Dhabi card. Key Points: Erceg and Temirov opened near even money on both platforms, closer than any other fight on the Abu Dhabi main card. Po

Traders have pushed more than $245 million into prediction markets on LeBron James' next NBA team, with the Miami Heat now priced near 50 percent. Key Points: Combined trading on James' next team has topped $245 million across Kalshi and Polymarket. A Heat video posted and deleted Tuesday night lift

Faraday Future signed on as an official robotics sponsor of Argentina's national football team the same day a World Cup final drew $1.89 billion on Kalshi. Key Points: Faraday Future became an official regional sponsor of Argentina's national team in North America for robotics and related technology

Michigan's $120,000 daily fine keeps Kalshi from selling contracts on Friday night's Kansas City Royals game at the Detroit Tigers' Comerica Park. Key Points: Kansas City visits Detroit at 6:40 p.m. ET Friday in the second game of a four-game series at Comerica Park. A state court order has kept Kal

A very strong El Nino carries 81% odds by December, yet forecasters say Western wildfire risk stays elevated through 2026, another season for prediction market traders. Key Points: NOAA forecasters now put 81% odds on a very strong El Nino between October and December 2026. Agency research found El