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آخر أخبار وتحليلات أسواق التنبؤ | Yellow.com
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الأخبار
Kalshi’s $40B Ambition Puts Polymarket On The Defensive
منذ 9 ساعة
Kalshi is discussing a new funding round that would value the U.S.-regulated prediction market platform at $40 billion. Key Points: Kalshi could close a new funding round as early as the third quarter of 2026. The talks follow a $1 billion Series F round that valued the company at $22 billion. The p
Kalshi Adds Dogecoin And Zcash Perpetuals While Crypto Bleeds
منذ 19 ساعة
Kalshi listed perpetual futures on 4 more cryptocurrencies, Zcash (ZEC), Near Protocol (NEAR), Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Dogecoin (DOGE), widening its U.S. regulated derivatives lineup. Key Points: Kalshi added Zcash and Near Protocol perpetual contracts under its CFTC-regulated American Perpetuals brand
To Kill Polymarket And Kalshi? Zuckerberg Pushes Meta Into Prediction Markets With Its Arena App
Jun 24, 2026
Mark Zuckerberg has tasked a small Meta team with building Arena, a prediction markets app set to rival [Polymarket and Kalshi(https://yellow.com/news/polymarket-corners-world-cup-kalshi-fees), the sector's two biggest names. Key Points: Zuckerberg has directed a small Meta team to build Arena, a st
Schwab Enters Prediction Markets With Yes-Or-No S&P 500 Wagers
Jun 20, 2026
Charles Schwab plans to enter the prediction markets business with yes-or-no options contracts tied to the S&P 500, partnering with Cboe Global Markets. Key Points: Schwab will offer binary options letting clients bet on whether the S&P 500 finishes above or below a set level. The product arrives in
Kalshi Tests Whether Prediction Markets Belong On Wall Street
Jun 20, 2026
Kalshi has held early talks with investment banks about a future stock listing after its annualized revenue tripled past $2 billion. Key Points: Kalshi has reportedly held informal IPO discussions, though no public listing has been announced. Its annualized revenue tripled past $2 billion, lifted la
الأبحاث
Prediction Markets Just Crossed $25.7B, Rivaling Mid-Tier Crypto Exchanges
Camille Meulien
Jun 22, 2026
Prediction markets just posted their biggest monthly trading volume on record. A joint report from Bitget Wallet and CoinMarketCap, published in June 2026, confirmed that total platform volume reached $25.7 billion in March 2026 — a 10.6% jump from February. The headline number is striking. What sit
Polymarket's Nine Anonymous Whales Control Billions In Prediction Bets
Murtuza Merchant
May 27, 2026
Nine anonymous crypto wallets have reportedly gained outsized sway over the outcomes of some of Polymarket's most hotly contested prediction markets. Retail traders are furious. Many of them believe the platform's central promise — crowd-sourced truth — has been quietly hollowed out. The claim comes
How Prediction Markets Became Crypto’s Fastest-Growing Capital Flow Machine
Alexey Bondarev
May 15, 2026
Prediction markets spent most of the past decade as a niche curiosity. Then the 2024 U.S. presidential election arrived, and a single platform processed more volume on the outcome than some mid-cap stock exchanges moved in a day. Monthly notional volume for the sector has since surged past $24 billi
Crypto Narratives Of 2026: Where Real Capital Flows — And Where Hype Dies
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 13, 2026
Crypto narratives shape where liquidity, attention, and builder energy flow next, and in 2026 those flows have split decisively between sectors absorbing real capital and sectors running on borrowed hype. This is not a "best coins" list but a map of the themes that CoinGecko, Messari, and major inst
The Prediction Market Economy: How Everything Became A Bet
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 09, 2026
Prediction markets have surged from academic curiosity to a $44 billion industry in under three years. What began as simple election wagers on Wall Street in the 1860s now prices everything from Federal Reserve rate decisions to whether OpenAI will announce achieving AGI before 2027. The growth refl
التعلم
What Are Prediction Markets? How They Work, Who Uses Them, And Why They Matter In 2026
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 26, 2026
Most people bet on sports. Prediction markets let you bet on almost anything else: elections, central bank decisions, tech product launches, even weather events. The twist is that the prices on these markets are not arbitrary. They behave like probabilities, and the crowd setting them is often more
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