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آخر أخبار وتحليلات أسواق التنبؤ | Yellow.com
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الأخبار
Kalshi Logs 72% Of Weekly Prediction Market Volume Heading Into May
May 14, 2026
Kalshi extended its lead over Polymarket in April, posting $14.8 billion in monthly volume as its rival recorded its first decline since August. Prediction Market Gap Widens In April The Dune Analytics data, shows, Polymarket volume slid 8.9% to $10.2 billion. Kalshi climbed roughly 13% from March,
A16z Crypto Bets $2.2B On Stablecoins, Perpetuals And Prediction Markets
May 06, 2026
The crypto arm of Andreessen Horowitz has closed a $2.2 billion fifth fund focused on stablecoins, perpetual futures, prediction markets and tokenized assets. A16z Crypto Fund 5 Details The firm, known as a16z crypto, announced Crypto Fund 5 on Tuesday in a blog post and confirmed the size to The Bl
Prediction Market ETFs Go Live May 5 With 6 Roundhill Funds On Election Bets
Apr 30, 2026
Roundhill Investments will roll out six exchange-traded funds tied to U.S. election outcomes on May 5, marking the first time prediction market contracts will trade in standard brokerage accounts. SEC Filing Details Roundhill's 6 Election ETFs The asset manager filed a post-effective amendment with
Polymarket's Top 1% Wallets Pocket Half Of $16M Politics Gains, Research Shows
Apr 29, 2026
A new analysis of Polymarket shows fewer than 1% of wallets captured roughly half of all profits across its key political markets between December 2025 and February 2026. Solidus Labs Report Findings Blockchain analytics firm Solidus Labs published the figures this week. About 0.55% of profitable ma
Polymarket Denies 300K Record Breach, Calls Hacker Claims Nonsense
Apr 29, 2026
Polymarket has dismissed a dark web seller's claim of a customer data breach, saying the 300,000 records on offer were already publicly accessible through its on-chain feeds and APIs. Hacker Listing And Polymarket Reply A dark web actor using the handle "xorcat" posted on DarkForums on Tuesday, clai
الأبحاث
How Prediction Markets Became Crypto’s Fastest-Growing Capital Flow Machine
Alexey Bondarev
منذ 19 ساعة
Prediction markets spent most of the past decade as a niche curiosity. Then the 2024 U.S. presidential election arrived, and a single platform processed more volume on the outcome than some mid-cap stock exchanges moved in a day. Monthly notional volume for the sector has since surged past $24 billi
Crypto Narratives Of 2026: Where Real Capital Flows — And Where Hype Dies
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 13, 2026
Crypto narratives shape where liquidity, attention, and builder energy flow next, and in 2026 those flows have split decisively between sectors absorbing real capital and sectors running on borrowed hype. This is not a "best coins" list but a map of the themes that CoinGecko, Messari, and major inst
The Prediction Market Economy: How Everything Became A Bet
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 09, 2026
Prediction markets have surged from academic curiosity to a $44 billion industry in under three years. What began as simple election wagers on Wall Street in the 1860s now prices everything from Federal Reserve rate decisions to whether OpenAI will announce achieving AGI before 2027. The growth refl
From CFTC Fine To NYSE Partnership: The Unlikely Rise Of The World's Largest Prediction Market
Kostiantyn Tsentsura
Mar 13, 2026
A five-year-old blockchain startup with no trading fees and a $1.4 million regulatory fine on its record is now valued at $9 billion, backed by the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, and routinely cited by Bloomberg, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal as a real-time barometer for finan
التعلم
What Are Prediction Markets? How They Work, Who Uses Them, And Why They Matter In 2026
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 26, 2026
Most people bet on sports. Prediction markets let you bet on almost anything else: elections, central bank decisions, tech product launches, even weather events. The twist is that the prices on these markets are not arbitrary. They behave like probabilities, and the crowd setting them is often more
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