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Wildfire contracts stay live on major platforms while relief from a warming Pacific holds off until 2027. (Image: Shutterstock)

Prediction Markets Get Another Fire Season As Very Strong El Nino Odds Hit 81%

A very strong El Nino carries 81% odds by December, yet forecasters say Western wildfire risk stays elevated through 2026, another season for prediction market traders. Key Points: NOAA forecasters now put 81% odds on a very strong El Nino between October and December 2026. Agency research found El

Chicago's second-leading scorer is back on a two-year deal, with the Blackhawks still outside the leading group on Kalshi's Cup board. (Image: Shutterstock)

Kane Signs An $8M Chicago Deal, But Kalshi Still Ranks Florida First

Patrick Kane is returning to the Chicago Blackhawks on a two-year contract carrying an $8 million annual salary-cap hit, the team said Thursday. Key Points: The deal is worth $16 million in total and carries a full no-movement clause through the 2027-28 season. Kane had 57 points in 67 games last se

Prediction market boards in Blaine now show a 3M Open field missing the star the tournament had spent 10 days promoting. (Image: Shutterstock)

Jordan Spieth Exits The 3M Open, Leaving Kalshi And Polymarket A Thinner Field

Jordan Spieth withdrew from this week's $8.8 million 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities, thinning a field that prediction market traders now price without him. Key Points: Spieth was listed as a late withdrawal from the 3M Open field released Jul. 17, with no reason made public. Scottie Scheffler said Wedne

Filmmaker Sophia Maddox confronts her link to Charles Manson in a new Hulu documentary now drawing crypto prediction market interest. (Image: Shutterstock)

Hulu’s Charles Manson Documentary Uncovers His Unknown Granddaughter As Prediction Markets Watch

A new Hulu documentary about Charles Manson's previously unknown granddaughter began streaming Jul. 22, returning the cult leader to national attention nearly nine years after his death. Key Points: Hulu's "My Grandfather Charles Manson" premiered Jul. 22, following filmmaker Sophia Maddox and her f

Kalshi and Polymarket logged record World Cup volume as Wawrinka reached Estoril for his closing clay-court appearance. (Image: Shutterstock)

Wawrinka's Last Clay Match Arrives Inside A 3M-User Prediction Market Boom

Stan Wawrinka plays his final ATP clay-court match Tuesday at Estoril, days after Kalshi drew 3 million new users on record World Cup trading. Key Points: Wawrinka faces Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Estoril Open first round, the last clay-court event of his career. Kalshi signed up 3 million users

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