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The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is signaling closer oversight of prediction markets as the fast-growing sector begins to intersect more directly with traditional financial infrastructure. What Happened The agency’s Division of Market Oversight issued a new advisory on March 12 r

Polymarket has partnered with Palantir Technologies and TWG AI to build a real-time surveillance system for its sports prediction markets. The platform will use the Vergence AI engine to detect manipulation, screen prohibited users, and automate compliance reporting. The announcement comes as Polyma

Kalshi was sued in a proposed class action alleging it refused to pay $54 million owed to traders who correctly bet that Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei would leave office before April 1, 2026. Khamenei was killed Feb. 28 in joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. The platform invoked a pre-existing "dea

Kalshi and luxury watch marketplace Bezel have launched event contracts allowing users to bet on the future prices of high-end timepieces, including Rolex and Patek Philippe models. The move extends Kalshi's push into collectibles prediction markets, following earlier deals in sneakers and trading c

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour announced that the regulated prediction market platform would reimburse all fees on its "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader" market and settle positions based on the last traded price before Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in the US-Israeli strikes - a payout poli