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آخر أخبار وتحليلات أسواق التنبؤ | Yellow
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الأخبار
Kalshi Launches Luxury Watch Prediction Contracts With Bezel Partnership
Mar 03, 2026
Kalshi and luxury watch marketplace Bezel have launched event contracts allowing users to bet on the future prices of high-end timepieces, including Rolex and Patek Philippe models. The move extends Kalshi's push into collectibles prediction markets, following earlier deals in sneakers and trading c
Nasdaq Files SEC Bid To Launch Binary Options, Brings Prediction Markets To Wall Street
Mar 03, 2026
Nasdaq filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to list binary options contracts tied to its flagship stock index, marking the exchange operator's first structured product that resembles a prediction market as the sector heads toward an estimated $21.24 billion in global size by 2026.
Kalshi Refused To Let Traders Profit From Khamenei's Death - Then Refunded Everyone On A $36M Market
Mar 01, 2026
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour announced that the regulated prediction market platform would reimburse all fees on its "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader" market and settle positions based on the last traded price before Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in the US-Israeli strikes - a payout poli
Bitwise CIO Says Prediction Markets Are Reg FD For The Crypto Era
Feb 23, 2026
Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan challenged the growing consensus that Layer 1 blockspace has become a commodity, arguing that institutional capital remains heavily concentrated on a handful of networks led by Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), while also making the case that crypto-based
Netherlands Blocks Polymarket And Threatens €840K In Fines - Prediction Markets Are Running Out Of Safe Harbors
Feb 21, 2026
The Netherlands has blocked Dutch users from accessing Polymarket after the country's gambling regulator concluded the platform operated as an unlicensed gambling service. The Kansspelautoriteit issued a formal penalty order on Jan. 20, threatening fines of €420,000 per week - up to a €840,000 ceili
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