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The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is signaling closer oversight of prediction markets as the fast-growing sector begins to intersect more directly with traditional financial infrastructure. What Happened The agency’s Division of Market Oversight issued a new advisory on March 12 r

Polymarket has partnered with Palantir Technologies and TWG AI to build a real-time surveillance system for its sports prediction markets. The platform will use the Vergence AI engine to detect manipulation, screen prohibited users, and automate compliance reporting. The announcement comes as Polyma

Kalshi was sued in a proposed class action alleging it refused to pay $54 million owed to traders who correctly bet that Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei would leave office before April 1, 2026. Khamenei was killed Feb. 28 in joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes. The platform invoked a pre-existing "dea

Kalshi and luxury watch marketplace Bezel have launched event contracts allowing users to bet on the future prices of high-end timepieces, including Rolex and Patek Philippe models. The move extends Kalshi's push into collectibles prediction markets, following earlier deals in sneakers and trading c

Nasdaq filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to list binary options contracts tied to its flagship stock index, marking the exchange operator's first structured product that resembles a prediction market as the sector heads toward an estimated $21.24 billion in global size by 2026.