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Kalshi plans to seek U.S. approval for roughly 60 perpetual futures tied to stocks and ETFs, potentially bringing 24/7 crypto-style trading to major equities. Key Points: Kalshi wants to offer perpetual futures tied to about 60 stocks and ETFs, including Tesla, Apple and Nvidia. The contracts could

Prediction market Kalshi has permanently banned former U.S. Rep. George Santos and fined him $71,356 over trades tied to his own attendance at the State of the Union address. Key Points: Kalshi issued the first lifetime trading ban in its history, naming Santos and imposing a $71,356 penalty. The ex

Key Points Kalshi Research studied more than 2.2 million resolved markets from the platform’s 2021 launch through mid-2026. The study found Kalshi prices become more accurate and better calibrated as markets approach resolution. Trading volume and trader participation improved calibration, though th

Kalshi filed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to bring crypto-style perpetual futures to a U.S. stock index and copper, extending a structure it first introduced domestically with Bitcoin (BTC). Key Points: Kalshi filed on Aug. 18 for perpetual futures tied to a U.S. stock index and cop

Polymarket traders put just a 6% chance on Russia invading a NATO country this year, after U.S. intelligence warned Vladimir Putin could strike as soon as this autumn. Key Points: U.S. intelligence now assesses that Russia could mount a limited attack on a NATO member at any point between this autum