Can Dogecoin Really Hit $3? Whale Bets Collide With Hard Math

Whales open $9M in Dogecoin longs on Hyperliquid while Trader Tardigrade's $3 target faces doubts over supply (Image: Shutterstock)
Whales open $9M in Dogecoin longs on Hyperliquid while Trader Tardigrade's $3 target faces doubts over supply (Image: Shutterstock)

Dogecoin (DOGE) has gained about 15% over the past week as whales reportedly piled into leveraged bets and analyst Trader Tardigrade floated a $3 target that skeptics dismiss.

Key Points:

  • Whales reportedly opened about $9 million in long Dogecoin positions on Hyperliquid between Sept. 22 and Sept. 24.
  • Spot Dogecoin ETFs posted their best week since January, even as Bitwise prepares to close its fund.
  • A $3 price would push Dogecoin's market value above $500 billion, about 30 times its current size.

Dogecoin Whale Bets

Large holders opened roughly $9 million in long positions on Dogecoin through Hyperliquid between Sept. 22 and Sept. 24, derivatives data show. Five of those positions were already sitting on paper gains.

The token changed hands near $0.095 on Friday, roughly 15% above its level a week earlier. The weekly gains held up despite a rough Thursday session. Rising U.S. Treasury yields dragged Dogecoin down about 7% to just above 9 cents early that day, the steepest drop among major tokens.

Spot Dogecoin exchange-traded funds drew about $2.08 million in the week starting Sept. 21, their best week since January, according to SoSoValue figures. The Grayscale Dogecoin ETF did better still, taking in $2.68 million, its biggest weekly haul since its November 2025 launch.

Flows have dried up since Sept. 23, however, and Bitwise still plans to shut its own Dogecoin fund, with trading set to end Oct. 14.

Also Read: Ethereum Exchange Reserves Hit Record Low As ETH Trades Near $2,660

Trader Tardigrade's Target

Trader Tardigrade argues that Dogecoin is forming a double bottom on its weekly chart, a W-shaped pattern traders often read as a sign of a trend reversal. Once price clears the pattern's $0.46 neckline, he said, "the measured move projects to $3." His levels have shifted before, and in August he placed the neckline at $0.40 with a $5 target.

Skeptics say the math does not work, since the roughly 172 billion coins in circulation would be worth more than $500 billion at $3, about 30 times today's market value. That price would also sit about four times above Dogecoin's record of $0.7376, set on May 8, 2021.

Dogecoin's September swings show how quickly sentiment can turn. The coin traded near $0.084 when Bitwise announced its ETF closure on Sept. 10. It then jumped about 14% on Sept. 21 to reclaim $0.10 as a market-wide squeeze forced out short sellers, before giving back part of those gains this week.

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Alexey Bondarev

Alexey Bondarev is the Head of Content at Yellow.com, having reported on crypto for the last 10 years. He specializes in in-depth Research and Learn pieces, with a focus on analytical reporting, industry context, and the bigger forces shaping crypto, from the AI era and security technologies to fintech innovation. He believes that everything digital will imminently overcome everything analogue and is working hard to make that come true.

Disclaimer and Risk Warning: The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and is based on the author's opinion. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and subject to high risk, including the risk of losing all or a substantial amount of your investment. Trading or holding crypto assets may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the official policy or position of Yellow, its founders, or its executives. Always conduct your own thorough research (D.Y.O.R.) and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
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Can Dogecoin Really Hit $3? Whale Bets Collide With Hard Math | Yellow