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Останні новини та аналітика про Polymarket | Yellow
Довіряйте Yellow.com для отримання останніх і найнадійніших новин та аналітики про Polymarket . Будьте в курсі актуальних оновлень, експертного аналізу та ґрунтовних статей про Polymarket .
Новини
LeBron James Polymarket Deal Pays $15M After $270M Traded On His Future
Oct 06, 2026
LeBron James will earn $15 million a year from Polymarket, nearly four times his 76ers salary, after $270 million in trading tied to his future, amid New York legal scrutiny. Key Points: James' Polymarket agreement pays $15 million annually, nearly four times his expected 2026-27 salary with the Phi
Polymarket Kyiv Strike Bets Show $124,000 Volume, But Two Trades Explain It
Oct 03, 2026
Polymarket shows about $124,000 in volume on 31 daily contracts tied to Russian strikes on Kyiv in October, almost all of it from two quickly reversed trades. Key Points: Contracts for Oct. 4 and Oct. 12 account for $58,397 and $63,322 of the market's $124,110 in volume. Trade records show one accou
Polymarket Traders Can Now Ban Themselves For Life Or Cap Their Deposits
Oct 02, 2026
Polymarket on Wednesday added deposit limits and self-exclusion from 30 days to life, while sports and parlays reportedly made up more than 98% of September volume on its U.S. site. Key Points: Traders can lock themselves out for 30 days, one year or permanently, and U.S. users can cap deposits by d
Polymarket Puts Russia's NATO Invasion Odds At Just 6% Despite US Alarm
Aug 08, 2026
Polymarket traders put just a 6% chance on Russia invading a NATO country this year, after U.S. intelligence warned Vladimir Putin could strike as soon as this autumn. Key Points: U.S. intelligence now assesses that Russia could mount a limited attack on a NATO member at any point between this autum
Hurricane Genevieve Hits 160 MPH And No Prediction Market Prices It
Jul 27, 2026
Hurricane Genevieve reached Category 5 strength on Monday with 160 mph winds, yet no contract on Polymarket or Kalshi prices the storm directly. Key Points: Genevieve became a Category 5 hurricane on Monday morning, the first eastern Pacific storm to reach that strength in two years. Polymarket list
Дослідження
How Prediction Markets Became Crypto’s Fastest-Growing Capital Flow Machine
Alexey Bondarev
Sep 23, 2026
Prediction markets spent most of the past decade as a niche curiosity. Then the 2024 U.S. presidential election arrived, and a single platform processed more volume on the outcome than some mid-cap stock exchanges moved in a day. Monthly notional volume for the sector has since surged past $24 billi
Polymarket Wants $1B At A $20B Valuation, The Timing Tells You Everything
Alexey Bondarev
Aug 05, 2026
Prediction markets have spent years being dismissed as a niche experiment for crypto-native degenerates and political junkies. The numbers coming out of 2026 suggest the dismissal is over. Polymarket is in talks to raise $1 billion at a $20 billion valuation, just four months after its last funding
Polymarket's Nine Anonymous Whales Control Billions In Prediction Bets
Alexey Bondarev
May 27, 2026
Nine anonymous crypto wallets have reportedly gained outsized sway over the outcomes of some of Polymarket's most hotly contested prediction markets. Retail traders are furious. Many of them believe the platform's central promise — crowd-sourced truth — has been quietly hollowed out. The claim comes
The Prediction Market Economy: How Everything Became A Bet
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 09, 2026
Prediction markets have surged from academic curiosity to a $44 billion industry in under three years. What began as simple election wagers on Wall Street in the 1860s now prices everything from Federal Reserve rate decisions to whether OpenAI will announce achieving AGI before 2027. The growth refl
From CFTC Fine To NYSE Partnership: The Unlikely Rise Of The World's Largest Prediction Market
Kostiantyn Tsentsura
Mar 13, 2026
A five-year-old blockchain startup with no trading fees and a $1.4 million regulatory fine on its record is now valued at $9 billion, backed by the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, and routinely cited by Bloomberg, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal as a real-time barometer for finan
Навчання
How Polymarket And Kalshi Actually Price Real-World Events
Alexey Bondarev
Aug 02, 2026
Polls ask people what they think. Prediction markets ask them to put money behind it. That single difference changes everything about how accurate the resulting probability turns out to be. When Kalshi listed odds on the 2026 World Cup alongside Polymarket, millions of dollars moved within minutes —
Prediction Markets Move $4B On World Cup, Know The Mechanics Now
Murtuza Merchant
Jul 15, 2026
Prediction markets placed more than $4.2 billion on the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner alone. That is not a bet with a bookmaker. No house set those odds. Every price you see on Polymarket or Kalshi was produced by real people trading shares against each other, and the mechanics behind that process are
What Are Prediction Markets? How They Work, Who Uses Them, And Why They Matter In 2026
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 26, 2026
Most people bet on sports. Prediction markets let you bet on almost anything else: elections, central bank decisions, tech product launches, even weather events. The twist is that the prices on these markets are not arbitrary. They behave like probabilities, and the crowd setting them is often more
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