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Останні новини та аналітика про Polymarket | Yellow
Довіряйте Yellow.com для отримання останніх і найнадійніших новин та аналітики про Polymarket . Будьте в курсі актуальних оновлень, експертного аналізу та ґрунтовних статей про Polymarket .
Новини
Polymarket Puts Russia's NATO Invasion Odds At Just 6% Despite US Alarm
Aug 08, 2026
Polymarket traders put just a 6% chance on Russia invading a NATO country this year, after U.S. intelligence warned Vladimir Putin could strike as soon as this autumn. Key Points: U.S. intelligence now assesses that Russia could mount a limited attack on a NATO member at any point between this autum
Hurricane Genevieve Hits 160 MPH And No Prediction Market Prices It
Jul 27, 2026
Hurricane Genevieve reached Category 5 strength on Monday with 160 mph winds, yet no contract on Polymarket or Kalshi prices the storm directly. Key Points: Genevieve became a Category 5 hurricane on Monday morning, the first eastern Pacific storm to reach that strength in two years. Polymarket list
Ghost Rider And Black Panther: Prediction Markets Whiffed On Marvel's Two Biggest Casting Reveals
Jul 26, 2026
Marvel cast David Jonsson as Black Panther and Ryan Gosling as Ghost Rider on Saturday, two reveals prediction markets priced wrong or not at all. Key Points: Marvel Studios named David Jonsson as T'Challa's son in Black Panther 3, dated for Dec. 15, 2028. Polymarket's casting market listed only Joh
Polymarket And Kalshi Give Temirov A 52% Edge Over Steve Erceg
Jul 25, 2026
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi priced Saturday's Steve Erceg vs. Ramazan Temirov flyweight bout at 52 cents to 48 cents, the tightest market on the UFC Abu Dhabi card. Key Points: Erceg and Temirov opened near even money on both platforms, closer than any other fight on the Abu Dhabi main card. Po
Prediction Markets Turn LeBron James Free Agency Into A $245M Trade
Jul 25, 2026
Traders have pushed more than $245 million into prediction markets on LeBron James' next NBA team, with the Miami Heat now priced near 50 percent. Key Points: Combined trading on James' next team has topped $245 million across Kalshi and Polymarket. A Heat video posted and deleted Tuesday night lift
Дослідження
Polymarket Wants $1B At A $20B Valuation, The Timing Tells You Everything
Murtuza Merchant
Aug 05, 2026
Prediction markets have spent years being dismissed as a niche experiment for crypto-native degenerates and political junkies. The numbers coming out of 2026 suggest the dismissal is over. Polymarket is in talks to raise $1 billion at a $20 billion valuation, just four months after its last funding
Polymarket's Nine Anonymous Whales Control Billions In Prediction Bets
Murtuza Merchant
May 27, 2026
Nine anonymous crypto wallets have reportedly gained outsized sway over the outcomes of some of Polymarket's most hotly contested prediction markets. Retail traders are furious. Many of them believe the platform's central promise — crowd-sourced truth — has been quietly hollowed out. The claim comes
How Prediction Markets Became Crypto’s Fastest-Growing Capital Flow Machine
Alexey Bondarev
May 15, 2026
Prediction markets spent most of the past decade as a niche curiosity. Then the 2024 U.S. presidential election arrived, and a single platform processed more volume on the outcome than some mid-cap stock exchanges moved in a day. Monthly notional volume for the sector has since surged past $24 billi
The Prediction Market Economy: How Everything Became A Bet
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 09, 2026
Prediction markets have surged from academic curiosity to a $44 billion industry in under three years. What began as simple election wagers on Wall Street in the 1860s now prices everything from Federal Reserve rate decisions to whether OpenAI will announce achieving AGI before 2027. The growth refl
From CFTC Fine To NYSE Partnership: The Unlikely Rise Of The World's Largest Prediction Market
Kostiantyn Tsentsura
Mar 13, 2026
A five-year-old blockchain startup with no trading fees and a $1.4 million regulatory fine on its record is now valued at $9 billion, backed by the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, and routinely cited by Bloomberg, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal as a real-time barometer for finan
Навчання
How Polymarket And Kalshi Actually Price Real-World Events
Alexey Bondarev
Aug 02, 2026
Polls ask people what they think. Prediction markets ask them to put money behind it. That single difference changes everything about how accurate the resulting probability turns out to be. When Kalshi listed odds on the 2026 World Cup alongside Polymarket, millions of dollars moved within minutes —
Prediction Markets Move $4B On World Cup, Know The Mechanics Now
Murtuza Merchant
Jul 15, 2026
Prediction markets placed more than $4.2 billion on the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner alone. That is not a bet with a bookmaker. No house set those odds. Every price you see on Polymarket or Kalshi was produced by real people trading shares against each other, and the mechanics behind that process are
What Are Prediction Markets? How They Work, Who Uses Them, And Why They Matter In 2026
Alexey Bondarev
Apr 26, 2026
Most people bet on sports. Prediction markets let you bet on almost anything else: elections, central bank decisions, tech product launches, even weather events. The twist is that the prices on these markets are not arbitrary. They behave like probabilities, and the crowd setting them is often more
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