Останні новини та аналітика про Polymarket | Yellow

President Donald Trump on Thursday said that he has decided not to grant clemency to Sam Bankman-Fried, the former chief executive of bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX who is serving a 25-year federal sentence for fraud and conspiracy. The denial of pardon closes speculation that political interv

Prediction market data indicates that Kevin Warsh currently holds a narrow lead over Kevin Hassett in the race to be named the next chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve. What Happened On Polymarket, traders are pricing a higher probability of 40% that Warsh will be nominated, reflecting shifting expec

Prediction markets are amplifying attention on an imminent U.S. Supreme Court decision over the legality of Trump-era emergency tariffs, with Polymarket currently assigning a strong probability to a ruling that invalidates the measures. As of Thursday, Polymarket contracts imply roughly a three-in-f

A previously dormant Polymarket trader has returned after seven months to place $8,198 in wagers on potential Israeli military strikes against Iran by Mar. 31, 2026. The account, operating under the username ricosuave666, has accumulated $155,699.12 in total profits, with every prior Israel-related

A Polymarket user placed a $37,000 wager on China invading Taiwan in 2026, raising questions about geopolitical speculation on prediction markets. The bet follows a $32,000 wager that netted $436,000 after President Donald Trump announced a military operation in Venezuela that resulted in the remova