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Latest Prediction Markets News and Insights | Yellow

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Ether trades near $1,769 as Kalshi rolls out fee-free Ethereum perpetual futures for U.S. users. (Image: Shutterstock)

Kalshi Wins CFTC Approval For First U.S. Bitcoin Perpetual Futures

The CFTC approved Kalshi's Bitcoin (BTC) perpetual futures contract on Friday, marking the first formal U.S. clearance for a product American traders have long accessed only on offshore platforms. Key Points: The CFTC issued its first formal approval for a regulated U.S. Bitcoin perpetual futures co

Combined prediction market volume reached $44.8 billion in June as World Cup wagers surged across Kalshi and Polymarket. (Image: Shutterstock)

Rain Surges 23% In A Day As It Storms Into Top Prediction Markets

Rain (RAIN) jumped 23% in a day, extending a three-day rally near 100% after a $100 million liquidity injection vaulted it into the top three prediction markets. Key Points: Rain rose 23% in a session and roughly 100% over three days after the foundation's cash injection. The deposit split evenly be

The platform's validators can now publish and settle prediction markets directly, bypassing the external oracle providers rivals depend on. (Image: Shutterstock)

Hyperliquid Hands Validators Control Over Prediction Market Settlement

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has upgraded its HIP-4 framework so network validators can publish and resolve prediction markets tied to real-world events, cutting out external oracle providers. Key Points: Hyperliquid expanded its HIP-4 system so validators vote on the deployment and settlement of "canonical"

OpenAI Outmaneuvers Anthropic In IPO Race, Prediction Markets Now Bet 83% It Lists First

OpenAI Outmaneuvers Anthropic In IPO Race, Prediction Markets Now Bet 83% It Lists First

OpenAI is preparing a confidential IPO filing this week, with prediction markets now giving rival Anthropic just a 20% chance of going public first. OpenAI Targets September Debut OpenAI is set to confidentially file a draft prospectus as soon as Friday, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley

How a first-round tennis match in Baja became a window into Robinhood's reliance on Kalshi for its event contract supply. (Image: Shutterstock)

Polymarket's $7M Ukraine Ghost Returns As Israel Bet Sparks Outrage

A British Columbia trader's lost $567 wager on an Israel-Hezbollah cease-fire has reopened scrutiny of Polymarket's dispute system, a year after a contested $7 million Ukraine bet rattled the same oracle. Wilhelm Bet Exposes UMA Voting Risks Trader Garrick Wilhelm signed up for Polymarket last month

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