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DeFi Lending Rates Drop Below Zero As Incentives Create Arbitrage Opportunities

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Kostiantyn Tsentsura20 minutes ago
DeFi Lending Rates Drop Below Zero As Incentives Create Arbitrage Opportunities

Decentralized finance lending markets experienced negative borrow rates and sharp year-end deleveraging as incentive programs reshaped borrowing economics.

Morpho protocol's Katana chain offered borrowers effective rates of negative 1.5% on vbETH and negative 1.15% on vbWBTC in early January.

Kamino's USDC Prime vault saw supply APY plunge from 6.5% to below 4% on December 31 as approximately $75 million in leverage unwound.

What Happened

Morpho's cross-chain lending markets showed divergent borrowing costs, with Ethereum mainnet rates substantially higher than alternative chains.

Katana borrow markets remain incentivized through KAT token rewards, though the token currently lacks tradability.

Bitget's late-December On-Chain Earn launch drove liquidity into Arbitrum's SyrupUSDC/USDT market, compressing rates to approximately 1.1% versus 4% on mainnet.

The December 31 rate compression on Kamino reflected tax calendar resets encouraging portfolio rebalancing and leverage reduction ahead of year-end.

Utilization in Kamino's USDC Prime vault fell roughly 13% within hours as positions closed before the calendar reset.

Read also: What Riot's Record Bitcoin Sale Reveals About Mining Industry Cash Flow Crisis

Why It Matters

The dynamics highlight how protocol incentives can invert traditional lending economics, with borrowers receiving net payments rather than paying interest.

Year-end APY dislocations demonstrate predictable seasonal patterns driven by tax optimization rather than fundamental market changes.

Leverage typically rebuilds in early January after year-end rebalancing, creating temporary opportunities for cheaper debt during transitional periods.

The rate divergences across chains underscore liquidity fragmentation and the impact of isolated incentive programs on borrowing costs.

However, the sustainability of negative rates depends entirely on continued protocol subsidies rather than organic market dynamics.

Read next: Bitcoin Just Lost Billions In Stealth Demand — The MSCI Rule Nobody Saw Coming

Disclaimer and Risk Warning: The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and is based on the author's opinion. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and subject to high risk, including the risk of losing all or a substantial amount of your investment. Trading or holding crypto assets may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the official policy or position of Yellow, its founders, or its executives. Always conduct your own thorough research (D.Y.O.R.) and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
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