Solana's leadership is debating an economic overhaul that could boost SOL's investment appeal. Critics warn it may eliminate small validators who maintain the network's decentralization.
The debate focuses on inflation. For proof-of-stake blockchains like Solana, some inflation is built into the system. The network creates new tokens to reward validators who maintain operations, providing incentive for their computing work.
Most Solana powerbrokers believe the network produces too many SOL tokens too quickly. Proposal SIMD-0228, co-authored by Multicoin Capital partner Tushar Jain, would implement a market-driven system. It would reduce inflation from 4.7% to approximately 1.5%, assuming current staking rates continue.
This change would prevent billions of dollars worth of new SOL from entering circulation each year. SOL's price would likely benefit as validators and stakers earn and sell fewer tokens.
"It eliminates the enormous opportunity cost of investing in the Solana ETF," said Jain in a February call. He referred to a theoretical product that would likely not include staking rewards.
Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko, Helius CEO Mert Mumtaz, and influential validators have endorsed the proposal. They consider it necessary for Solana's evolution. However, smaller validators operating on tight margins face potential elimination.
"I feel that most small/medium-sized validators are against it," said Jota, who runs Pine Stake validator. "The consequences of it might be losing +25% of profitable validators."
Another proposal, SIMD-123, could further pressure smaller validators by altering reward distribution between validators and stakers. This compounds concerns.
David Girder, head of liquid investments at Finality Capital Partners, warned that a significant validator reduction would expose Solana to centralization accusations. He calculated the changes could eliminate up to 250 validators, possibly removing one-third of them "at the bottom of the bear market."
Solana currently pays staking rewards at 4.7%. This rate decreases 15% annually until reaching 1.5%. The structured approach helps validators plan their economics.
SIMD-0228 would replace this with what validator Brian Long called a "smarter curve" on social media. The new model would use the percentage of staked SOL to determine new token issuance each epoch.
Validators earn revenue from multiple sources beyond staking. They collect SOL through various fees and Jito tips. These income streams fluctuate with network activity.
While critics predict significant validator losses, others forecast more modest impacts. "The belief is that the more validators that exist on the network, that the greater amount of security exists as well," explained validator LakeStake in a recent video. "Opponents would argue that there's just not enough data to support that this proposal is worth the risk of losing validators."
Critics have secured modifications to SIMD-0228, including a months-long implementation delay. This would allow time to reform Solana's expensive vote fees—a major operating cost for validators.
Many long-tail validators already receive Solana Foundation subsidies. "Losing 200 validators who rely exclusively on a single staker (Solana Foundation) has no meaningful impact on decentralisation imho," wrote validator operator Laine from Stakewiz on X.
With stakeholders divided, some question the urgency. Jain warned against "analysis paralysis" that could transform Solana into a "hulking, cumbersome ocean liner of a network." He added, "Something that can happen to organizations as they scale is status quo bias. Why do we do it this way? Because we've always done it this way. And I think that is the death knell of the organization."
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