Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near $79,000 after a golden cross formed, while ETF inflows and Fed policy risks frame the debate over a possible run toward $100,000.
Key Points:
- Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average crossed above its 200-day average for the first time since November 2025, restoring a widely watched bullish trend signal.
- Nearly $3.8 billion in ETF inflows has strengthened the bullish case, although resistance remains concentrated between $79,000 and roughly $82,800 before a larger breakout can develop.
- A hawkish Federal Reserve outcome could weaken the setup and push Bitcoin back toward support near $75,674.
Bitcoin Golden Cross
Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average moved above its 200-day average, creating a golden cross while BTC traded around $79,278. The publication said the previous three formations were followed by gains of 50%, 45% and 60%, although the pattern does not guarantee another rally.
The technical picture remains constrained by resistance. CryptoNews placed immediate barriers at $79,730 to $79,920, followed by a heavier zone from $80,000 to $82,793, while support sits at $76,000 to $77,600 and then $71,781 to $75,674.
ETF demand adds another bullish factor, with nearly $3.8 billion in fresh inflows cited alongside the moving-average signal. A daily close above $82,300 could open a move toward $85,000 to $86,000, followed by the $95,000 to $100,000 area if momentum continues.
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Kevin Warsh Outlook
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh remains the main macro risk in the setup after using his Jackson Hole remarks to stress inflation concerns. Traders have been weighing the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate increase, which could pressure Bitcoin by strengthening the appeal of yield-bearing assets and limiting demand for risk.
That leaves three broad technical paths. The bullish case requires a break above $82,300, the base case keeps Bitcoin between $76,000 and $82,000, and the bearish case points back toward $75,674 if tighter monetary policy undercuts the golden-cross momentum.
The signal has a strong recent record but not a perfect one.
CryptoNews said the last three golden crosses preceded rallies of 50%, 45% and 60%, while Bitcoin Magazine linked an earlier formation to the $126,200 all-time high reached in May 2025.
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