Ethereum (ETH) has recently captivated the market with a robust rally that saw its price spike from $2,400 to $3,700. This upward trajectory has fueled optimism among traders and investors about ETH's potential. Pseudonymous analyst VentureFounder suggests this is merely the beginning, projecting a potential surge to $7,346. However, caution persists as Ethereum's foundation faces scrutiny amid long-term holder behavior and market volatility.
Currently, Ethereum is showing signs of forming a "cup and handle" triangle consolidation pattern. This pattern is traditionally viewed as an indicator of impending price gains. Should Ethereum break past the critical $3,800 resistance level, analysts predict it could soar by over 97% to reach the $7,346 target.
A sustained rally appears viable, contingent upon ETH confirming the breakout and gaining further momentum. Still, Ethereum remains in consolidation; thus, breaking $3,800 is crucial to ignite further appreciation.
Despite a positive macro momentum, Ethereum faces challenges from long-term holder (LTH) supply, gauged by the Liveliness indicator. This metric highlights whether long-term holders are selling or holding ETH. An uptick in Liveliness may signal a bearish trend, indicating potential liquidation by LTHs. Conversely, a decline suggests accumulation, bolstering a bullish outlook. Presently, rising Liveliness could pressure ETH's price, destabilizing the rally and postponing any surge.
As of now, Ethereum trades around $3,700, teetering just below the pivotal $3,800 resistance. A successful breach could set ETH on a path towards $7,346, signifying a remarkable 97% gain. Nonetheless, Ethereum must solidify support above $3,800 to initiate significant price advances. Crossing the $3,800 mark is essential for reaching the year-to-date high of $4,000, drawing attention from retail and institutional investors alike.
There is a risk, however, if Liveliness continues to rise and long-term holders persist in liquidating their positions. Such activity could trigger a price correction, potentially dragging Ethereum back to the $3,327 region. This downturn could undermine the bullish thesis and delay the expected rally. Therefore, monitoring LTH behavior remains essential for Ethereum's trajectory.
While the potential for significant gains is evident, Ethereum's journey hinges on overcoming critical resistance and closely observing market dynamics. Analyst insights suggest a promising path forward, yet only time will unveil whether this projection manifests.