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Analyst Notes Current Bitcoin Metrics Mirror 2018 Pre-Decline Conditions

Analyst Notes Current Bitcoin Metrics Mirror 2018 Pre-Decline Conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) faces sustained selling pressure as market analysts debate whether current price levels represent a bottom formation or signal deeper declines ahead. The cryptocurrency has fallen 31% from its all-time high, with technical indicators showing the asset's longest consecutive "extreme fear" streak on record.

What Happened: Market Analysis

PlanB, creator of the Stock-to-Flow model, attributed current market dynamics to an equal split between sellers and buyers on Wednesday.

He said 50% of selling comes from original holders "traumatized by 2021," technical investors monitoring the relative strength index, and four-year cycle proponents expecting a bear market two years after the halving.

The remaining 50% consists of buyers focused on fundamentals, institutional investors, traditional finance players and banks.

PlanB characterized the situation as an "epic battle ... until sellers are out of ammo."

Joe Consorti, a crypto entrepreneur, noted historical precedents for further declines. When Bitcoin reached similar oversold levels in late 2018, the asset dropped an additional 44%, while the 2022 scenario saw a 54% decline.

Also Read: Dogecoin Falls 5% After Central Bank Announces Rate Cut With Cautious Guidance

Why It Matters: Price Outlook

Consorti suggested Bitcoin could either experience continued downward pressure or "chop around and form a bottom here," similar to patterns observed in September 2024 and April 2025. He emphasized that bottom formation requires time.

Bitcoin briefly approached $88,000 on Tuesday after reaching $85,000 on Monday, but retreated to $87,500 during Wednesday's Asian trading session due to insufficient buying pressure.

Read Next: Solana Drops Below $130 While Technical Indicators Signal Renewed Weakness

Disclaimer and Risk Warning: The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and is based on the author's opinion. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and subject to high risk, including the risk of losing all or a substantial amount of your investment. Trading or holding crypto assets may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the official policy or position of Yellow, its founders, or its executives. Always conduct your own thorough research (D.Y.O.R.) and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
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