Crypto’s 39.6% Rally Has A Problem: Spot Buyers Aren’t Keeping Up

Crypto market value rose $840.1 billion last quarter as Ethereum outpaced Bitcoin despite falling trading volumes (Image: Shutterstock)
Crypto market value rose $840.1 billion last quarter as Ethereum outpaced Bitcoin despite falling trading volumes (Image: Shutterstock)

Crypto's total market value jumped 39.6% in the third quarter to end three straight quarterly declines, with Ethereum (ETH) beating Bitcoin (BTC) even as trading volumes kept sliding.

Key Points:

  • Total crypto market cap added $840.1 billion last quarter and closed September at $2.96 trillion.
  • Ethereum gained 71% to $2,684, while average daily trading volume fell for a third straight quarter.
  • Bitcoin has since slipped toward $80,000 as hot inflation data and Asian stock losses weighed on prices.

Ethereum Leads Rebound

CoinGecko published its third-quarter industry report last week, showing total market capitalization rose $840.1 billion to $2.96 trillion, though it remains 4% lower for the year. That was the best quarter since late 2024.

August did most of the work. Market cap grew 21.8%, or $489.8 billion, that month after the U.S. Treasury said it would at least double planned buybacks of long-dated bonds, while spot Bitcoin ETFs kept drawing net inflows. A failed Senate procedural vote on the CLARITY Act on Sept. 15 barely dented the climb.

Ethereum climbed 71% to $2,684 and outperformed every other major coin, helped by $3.1 billion in net inflows to U.S. spot Ether funds that erased all first-half outflows. Bitcoin reportedly rose 42.7% to $83,576 over the same stretch.

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Crypto Volumes Lag

The quarter saw prices outpace participation, CoinGecko's analysts wrote. Average daily volume fell 8.6% from the second quarter to $73.3 billion, the third drop in a row, while spot volume at the top 10 centralized exchanges slid 14.2% to $1.65 trillion. Borrowed money told another story.

Open interest on the largest perpetual futures exchanges rose 40.6% and closed above $100 billion for the first time since the third quarter of 2025. Binance lifted its spot share to 42.7% from 38.7%, while open interest fell 41.2% at KuCoin and 18.9% at Deribit, a split the report called uneven rather than broad-based.

Glassnode Bitcoin Floor

Analysts at Glassnode said a wave of loss-selling as Bitcoin neared $80,000 on Oct. 15 could mark a local bottom if past patterns repeat. Similar episodes in August and September came before local lows.

The firm flagged the average cost basis of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF holders, near $81,500, as a key level and sees resistance around $88,000.

Bitcoin hit a monthly low of $80,200 on Oct. 15 after hotter-than-expected inflation data and a slide in Asian stocks, and nearly $1 billion in leveraged positions, mostly longs, was wiped out that day. It traded near $81,000 on Oct. 18, roughly 35% below its October 2025 record near $126,200, while spot Bitcoin ETFs logged about $617 million in October net withdrawals through midmonth.

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Ester Shlain

Business Analyst at Yellow, covering trading mechanics, agentic infrastructure, and market research on the crypto exchange stack. Seven years in web3 across DAO platforms, launchpads, and tokenomics design. Writes for people who want the numbers behind the narrative.

Disclaimer and Risk Warning: The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and is based on the author's opinion. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and subject to high risk, including the risk of losing all or a substantial amount of your investment. Trading or holding crypto assets may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the official policy or position of Yellow, its founders, or its executives. Always conduct your own thorough research (D.Y.O.R.) and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
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Crypto’s 39.6% Rally Has A Problem: Spot Buyers Aren’t Keeping Up | Yellow