Elliott Wave Analysis Shows Bitcoin Heading To $60K

Alexey Bondarev
Alexey BondarevFeb, 02 2026 3:50
Bitcoin chart showing March rally potential against $79K ETF cost basis resistance level (Image: Shutterstock)
Bitcoin chart showing March rally potential against $79K ETF cost basis resistance level (Image: Shutterstock)

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000 and fell as low as $77,082, breaking the critical $82,000 support level from November 2025 that had sustained the rally for months and prompting analysts to declare the bullish technical structure invalid with price targets now pointing toward $60,000.

What Happened: Elliott Wave Structure Collapses

Analyst XForceGlobal shared detailed Elliott Wave analysis on X showing the breakdown represents a fundamental shift in the technical framework. Bulls had completed three of five components in a complex sideways WXY pattern before failing to defend the prior low.

That failure changed everything.

Once Bitcoin broke below $80,000, the primary wave count could no longer hold. The analyst noted that price action from the all-time high above $126,000 in October 2025 should now be treated as corrective rather than part of a healthy continuation.

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Why It Matters: Both Scenarios Target $60K

Two bearish interpretations have emerged from the analysis, and both converge on similar downside levels. The first envisions a flat correction with Bitcoin unfolding a C wave that drags price to $60,000.

The second scenario describes a macro ending diagonal structured as a WXY move to the downside using the October 2025 all-time high as a reference point.

XForceGlobal recommends adopting a shorter-timeframe bearish bias while the larger structure remains compromised. The outlook suggests Bitcoin continues declining to at least $60,000 before any meaningful recovery attempt toward $100,000.

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Alexey Bondarev

Alexey Bondarev is the Head of Content at Yellow.com, having reported on crypto for the last 10 years. He specializes in in-depth Research and Learn pieces, with a focus on analytical reporting, industry context, and the bigger forces shaping crypto, from the AI era and security technologies to fintech innovation. He believes that everything digital will imminently overcome everything analogue and is working hard to make that come true.

Disclaimer and Risk Warning: The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and is based on the author's opinion. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and subject to high risk, including the risk of losing all or a substantial amount of your investment. Trading or holding crypto assets may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the official policy or position of Yellow, its founders, or its executives. Always conduct your own thorough research (D.Y.O.R.) and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
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Elliott Wave Analysis Shows Bitcoin Heading To $60K | Yellow