Thursday's CPI Report Could Pause Federal Reserve Cuts, Sparking Bitcoin Volatility

Cryptocurrency recovers ground as traders await inflation report and central bank decisions (Image: Shutterstock)
Cryptocurrency recovers ground as traders await inflation report and central bank decisions (Image: Shutterstock)

Bitcoin recovered to $87,918 on Wednesday, Dec. 17, after defending the $85,000 support level, though traders remain cautious ahead of Thursday's U.S. inflation report. The cryptocurrency traded at $87,305 as of Wednesday afternoon, holding modest gains from its Dec. 16 intraday low of $85,427.

What Happened: Price Recovery

Bitcoin's rebound coincided with the release of November employment data showing nonfarm payrolls increased by 64,000, exceeding economists' estimates of 45,000.

The unemployment rate climbed to 4.6%, marking the highest level since September 2021.

The price movement triggered approximately $38 million in liquidations of short positions over 24 hours, compared to $23.5 million in long position liquidations. Short traders were caught off guard by the sudden upward move.

Also Read: Bitcoin-To-Gold Ratio Reaches Multi-Year Low With Technical Signals Pointing To Recovery

Why It Matters: Market Pressures

Investors await Thursday's Consumer Price Index report, scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Dec. 18. Economists forecast headline CPI will reach 3.0% to 3.1% year-over-year, with core CPI expected between 2.9% and 3.1%.

A higher-than-expected inflation reading could prompt the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts in January.

The Bank of Japan interest rate decision Friday presents additional risk, with Polymarket data showing a 98% probability of a 25 basis point increase to 0.25%.

"The unexpected strength in the November jobs report presents a short-term headwind for Bitcoin," David Hernandez, crypto investment specialist at 21Shares, said. "While heightened volatility is expected, the long-term narrative for Bitcoin remains intact."

Read Next: Analyst Notes Current Bitcoin Metrics Mirror 2018 Pre-Decline Conditions

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Alexey Bondarev

Alexey Bondarev is the Head of Content at Yellow.com, having reported on crypto for the last 10 years. He specializes in in-depth Research and Learn pieces, with a focus on analytical reporting, industry context, and the bigger forces shaping crypto, from the AI era and security technologies to fintech innovation. He believes that everything digital will imminently overcome everything analogue and is working hard to make that come true.

Disclaimer and Risk Warning: The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and is based on the author's opinion. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and subject to high risk, including the risk of losing all or a substantial amount of your investment. Trading or holding crypto assets may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the official policy or position of Yellow, its founders, or its executives. Always conduct your own thorough research (D.Y.O.R.) and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
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Thursday's CPI Report Could Pause Federal Reserve Cuts, Sparking Bitcoin Volatility | Yellow