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XRP Tests $1.50 Support: Negative Funding Rate Signals More Downside Ahead

XRP Tests $1.50 Support: Negative Funding Rate Signals More Downside Ahead

XRP fell to $1.50 Feb. 2, marking its lowest level since November 2024 after weekend liquidations wiped $2.2 billion across cryptocurrency markets.

The token dropped 10% to during weekend's selloff, extending four consecutive bearish weekly candles that pushed prices 29% below yearly peaks.

XRP's futures funding rate turned negative for the first time in weeks as short positions dominated derivatives positioning ahead of further downside.

What Happened

XRP closed below its 100-week exponential moving average, a technical breakdown last seen in 2022 when prices crashed 60% following similar violations.

Weekend futures liquidations totaled $40 million for XRP positions, with 99% of forced closures hitting long traders betting on price increases.

The token broke through $1.71 support cluster and approached its realized price of $1.48, where on-chain cost basis analysis typically identifies accumulation zones.

Negative funding rates indicate short traders now pay longs to maintain positions, reversing January's bullish derivatives sentiment when rates stayed consistently positive.

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Why It Matters

XRP recorded its fourth consecutive monthly loss in January, a streak unseen since 2017 when five consecutive red months preceded 73% September gains.

ETF flows turned mixed in late January after 35 days of uninterrupted inflows, with $40.8 million exiting funds Jan. 7 before recovering toward month-end.

Exchange-held XRP balances fell 57% since early 2025 to 1.7 billion tokens, creating tighter liquidity conditions that amplify price movements in both directions.

Technical analysis suggests potential further decline to $1.25-$1.26 levels representing October flash crash lows, though historical patterns show 70% probability of February recovery.

Read next: Bitcoin Mining Models Approach Shutdown Threshold At Industrial Power Rates

Disclaimer and Risk Warning: The information provided in this article is for educational and informational purposes only and is based on the author's opinion. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile and subject to high risk, including the risk of losing all or a substantial amount of your investment. Trading or holding crypto assets may not be suitable for all investors. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author(s) and do not represent the official policy or position of Yellow, its founders, or its executives. Always conduct your own thorough research (D.Y.O.R.) and consult a licensed financial professional before making any investment decision.
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