Ultime notizie e approfondimenti su Kalshi | Yellow

Polymarket traders put just a 6% chance on Russia invading a NATO country this year, after U.S. intelligence warned Vladimir Putin could strike as soon as this autumn. Key Points: U.S. intelligence now assesses that Russia could mount a limited attack on a NATO member at any point between this autum

Robinhood now quotes set-by-set odds on Denis Shapovalov's Los Cabos opener, one slice of a book that traded more than 16 billion contracts in 2026. Key Points: Robinhood is listing first set, second set and exact score contracts on Shapovalov's opening match at the Mifel Tennis Open. The brokerage

Hurricane Genevieve reached Category 5 strength on Monday with 160 mph winds, yet no contract on Polymarket or Kalshi prices the storm directly. Key Points: Genevieve became a Category 5 hurricane on Monday morning, the first eastern Pacific storm to reach that strength in two years. Polymarket list

Marvel cast David Jonsson as Black Panther and Ryan Gosling as Ghost Rider on Saturday, two reveals prediction markets priced wrong or not at all. Key Points: Marvel Studios named David Jonsson as T'Challa's son in Black Panther 3, dated for Dec. 15, 2028. Polymarket's casting market listed only Joh

Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi priced Saturday's Steve Erceg vs. Ramazan Temirov flyweight bout at 52 cents to 48 cents, the tightest market on the UFC Abu Dhabi card. Key Points: Erceg and Temirov opened near even money on both platforms, closer than any other fight on the Abu Dhabi main card. Po