A massive token unlock scheduled for July 18, 2025, will release 45% of TRUMP's circulating supply worth approximately $959.12 million at current prices. The unprecedented release represents nearly five times the average monthly unlock of $209.6 million and has sparked widespread concerns about potential market disruption among cryptocurrency investors.
What to Know:
- TRUMP token will unlock $959.12 million worth of tokens on July 18, representing 45% of its circulating supply
- Early whale selling activity has begun, with MemeCore transferring $13.35 million worth of tokens to Binance
- Despite bearish sentiment, some analysts point to political momentum and a $100 million investment from Justin Sun as potential price supports
Market Volatility Concerns Mount as Whale Activity Increases
Data from Tokenomist reveals that TRUMP ranks among the top three cryptocurrencies with the largest token unlocks scheduled for this week, alongside ZRO and ARB tokens. The sheer magnitude of this release has prompted immediate market reactions. Arkham Intel data shows that MemeCore, a significant holder, transferred 1.391 million TRUMP tokens valued at $13.35 million to Binance exchange within hours of the announcement.
This early movement by large wallet holders suggests institutional investors may be positioning themselves ahead of the unlock event. The transfer represents what many analysts interpret as the first sign of potential mass liquidation. Market observers note that similar patterns have historically preceded significant price corrections in cryptocurrency markets.
The timing of these whale movements coincides with broader market recovery trends, which some analysts believe may be masking the severity of the impending supply shock. X user Kamil warned that "TRUMP is down 85% from its ATH — and it's not over yet as a massive $520 million worth of tokens are set to unlock on July 18. Volatility incoming."
Political Momentum and Investment Support Provide Mixed Signals
Despite widespread bearish sentiment surrounding the unlock event, technical analysis from market observers like Sweep indicates potential positive price signals driven by political momentum and increased media attention. The token's connection to political developments continues to generate investor interest, even as fundamental supply-demand dynamics suggest downward pressure.
Justin Sun's recent $100 million investment in TRUMP has provided some market confidence, with analysts suggesting this backing could help the token reach $40 if market sentiment remains stable. This institutional support represents a significant vote of confidence in the token's long-term prospects despite short-term supply concerns.
Analyst Hoeem cautioned that the broader cryptocurrency market's recent recovery might distract investors from the critical nature of this unlock event. However, TRUMP's political backing may provide a crucial buffer against sharp declines that typically accompany major token releases.
According to BeInCrypto data, TRUMP maintains a current market capitalization of approximately $1.9 billion. The release of 45% additional circulating supply could significantly dilute the token's price if market demand fails to absorb the new tokens entering circulation.
Historical Context and Market Implications
The cryptocurrency market has witnessed similar large-scale unlocks in recent months, with Pi Network (PI) experiencing significant selling pressure following its July unlock event. PI coin holders continued selling as the network reached all-time lows, establishing a concerning precedent for TRUMP's upcoming release.
The $959.12 million unlock represents one of the largest single token releases in cryptocurrency history relative to market capitalization. This scale of supply increase typically creates substantial selling pressure, particularly when combined with existing market uncertainties and declining investor confidence.
Market analysts emphasize that the success of this unlock will largely depend on the cryptocurrency community's ability to absorb the additional supply without triggering a cascade of selling activity. The token's political connections may provide unique resilience compared to traditional cryptocurrency projects.
Closing Thoughts
The July 18 TRUMP token unlock represents a critical test for the cryptocurrency's market stability, with $959.12 million worth of tokens entering circulation amid mixed market signals. While whale selling activity and historical precedents suggest potential downward pressure, political momentum and institutional backing may provide crucial support during this unprecedented supply event.